Arizona Diamondbacks arrive at Truist Park on Monday, 17 August at 3:35 am AEST riding back-to-back dominant performances against Atlanta Braves. The visitors jumped off the page in their last start on 16 August with a resounding 10–3 win, following up a tight 2–0 victory the day before.

Atlanta Braves still hold division rank 1 in the NL with a 73–50 overall record (.593 pct), but they hit this contest on a two-game losing streak. Arizona will be eager to keep their foot on the pedal and finish this trip on a high note.

Head to head: Who takes game three?

The numbers say Arizona Diamondbacks have held all the cards in this series so far. Across their last five overall starts, Arizona averages 5.4 runs scored and just 2.4 runs allowed, boasting an average win margin of 6 runs. Their recent form line reads WWLLW following that 10–3 triumph over Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves are coming off that 10–3 defeat on 16 August, bringing their last five sample to LLWWL. Over that span, Braves average 3.6 runs for and 4.6 against. Probable pitchers for Monday's matchup see Bryce Elder taking the mound for Atlanta against Michael Soroka for Arizona.

On the head-to-head board, Atlanta Braves sit at 1.74 to bounce back at home, while Arizona Diamondbacks rate a real chance at 2.10. For complete match breakdowns and daily best bets, check out our mlb tips page.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 3:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Atlanta Braves1.74Our tipArizona Diamondbacks2.10
Solid tickOur tip: Arizona Diamondbacks. Arizona has won back-to-back starts against Atlanta at Truist Park, outscoring them 12–3 across those two meetings.

Tipped at $2.10 (3:12 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

4.3Season avg runs for4.6
4Season avg runs against4.3
59%Season win rate55%
4Last 5 avg runs for5
60%Last-five win rate60%

Run line edge

The line market places Atlanta Braves at +1.5 runs (1.50) and Arizona Diamondbacks at -1.5 runs (2.55). That gets a big tick given how Arizona has handled business at Truist Park.

Arizona has covered the spread in both recent head-to-head meetings this month, securing wins by 7 runs and 2 runs. With Atlanta averaging a loss margin of 4 runs over their last five overall starts, laying the runs with Arizona offers plenty of appeal.

LineOdds correct as at 3:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Atlanta Braves +1.51.50Our tipArizona Diamondbacks -1.52.55
Solid tickOur tip: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5. Arizona boasts an average win margin of 6 runs over their last five overall games and covered this margin in both recent games against Atlanta.

Tipped at $2.55 (3:12 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Atlanta Braves+1.5last 5

Cover rate60%3/5
Avg margin (+0.2)avg 0.2vs -1.5
-65

Arizona Diamondbacks-1.5last 5

Cover rate60%3/5
60%Cover % (form)60%
H2H cover (Atlanta Braves +1.5)0%0/2

Total runs analysis

The Total Runs line is set at 8.5 runs, with Over priced at 1.75 and Under at 2.05.

The head-to-head average total across their two recent meetings sits at 7.5 runs. Arizona's pitch staff has been stingy, conceding just 2.4 runs per game over their last five overall. Combined with Atlanta averaging 3.6 runs scored over their last five, the under profile builds nicely.

Total RunsOdds correct as at 3:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Over 8.51.75Our tipUnder 8.52.05
Solid tickOur tip: Under 8.5. Past two head-to-head meetings have averaged 7.5 total runs, while Arizona is conceding just 2.4 runs per game over their last five.

Tipped at $2.05 (3:12 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Total runs

Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 8.5.

Atlanta Braves games (n=5)avg 7.8vs 8.5
314
Arizona Diamondbacks games (n=5)avg 9.4vs 8.5
314
H2H meetings (n=2)avg 7.5vs 8.5
314

Hit rate vs 8.5

Atlanta Bravesn=5
Over 40%Under 60%
Arizona Diamondbacksn=5
Over 60%Under 40%
H2Hn=2
Over 50%Under 50%
4Avg runs for (form)5

Same Game Multi options

Punters looking for a Same Game Multi option can find priced combos on the board. One popular combination features Diamondbacks to win, Over 6.5 Diamondbacks total runs in the match & Corbin Carroll to hit 1+ home runs at 8.50.